CRITICAL THINKING
‘WIN IN A COMPLEX WORLD’— BUT HOW?
TRADOC CG GEN David G. Perkins discusses meaning and challenges of new Army Operating Concept
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generation of Army officers grew up knowing exactly who the enemy was. Clear lines divided the world into enemy and ally, closed and open, communist and free. Te United States made a move, and the Soviet
Union countered; the Soviets designed one kind of weapon sys- tem, and the United States differentiated its systems accordingly, constantly seeking an edge—until the stalemate cracked and the Soviet bloc walls came down, taking with them the assump- tions underpinning Army doctrine.
A younger generation knew another, more amorphous enemy, harder to pin down on a map: terrorism. Te dividing lines were blurrier, complicated by the leaps-and-bounds evolution of technology to both sides’ benefit. Te enemy didn’t necessarily have a state—or even a headquarters—and purposely sought to avoid confronting the United States’ strengths while seeking to exploit its vulnerabilities. Another battle plan emerged: Attack the governments that gave shelter to terrorists who threatened the United States. Tat pattern has driven the Army’s planning and equipping of its Soldiers for the past 15 years or so.
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Changes pile on fast and furiously these days—that much is clear. Te technology used by Soldiers five years hence is likely to be unrecognizable to today’s Soldiers. If a chessboard was ever an accurate analogy for the global security environment, the board has been upended. Tomorrow’s Soldiers will play a different game.
Who will the next generation’s enemy be? Te new “U.S. Army Operating Concept: Win in a Complex World, 2020-2040” (AOC) doesn’t attempt to predict the future—nor, necessarily, to answer that question directly. It does assess the current threat climate and extrapolates from there to help the Army plan for an unknown future. Te AOC is a chance to break free of the constraints that often narrow our vision (budget, bureaucratic inertia and “the way we do things around here”) and think hard about where the Army is and where it needs to go. (See Figure 1.) Tis overarching concept, developed by the U.S. Army Train- ing and Doctrine Command (TRADOC), will affect the way the entire Army operates, from the Soldier in the field, to the strategic planners at the Pentagon, to the acquisition workforce member working to make a program successful.
Army AL&T Magazine January–March 2015
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