EVOLVING INNOVATION


BIOSYNTHESIS U.S. Army Research Laboratory (ARL) chemists test up to 96 droplets of liquid compounds at a time as part of a research project to find synthetic antibodies that can counter the threat to Soldiers from synthetic viruses. Planning for the future by necessity must take into account synthetic biology as it becomes simpler to model synthetic materials. (Photo by Joyce P. Brayboy, ARL)


of players from academic government laboratories.


and


To foster common ground within this diverse community, the ODASA(R&T) has produced a report titled “Science and Technology Trends 2013-2043: A Review of Leading Forecasts,” available online at http://futures.armyscitech.com un- der “Resources.” Te report consolidates several major forecasts that private- and public-sector agencies have published over the past five years, including the National Intelligence Council’s “Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds” report (http:// www.dni.gov/index.php/about/orga- nization/national-intelligence-council- global-trends) and the McKinsey Global Institute’s report “Disruptive Tech- nologies: Advances that will transform life, business, and the global economy”


88


(http://www.mckinsey.com/insights/business_ technology/disruptive_technologies).


Te ODASA(R&T) report identified 16 common trends across a range of S&T topics, including robotics and autonomous systems, 3-D printing of human organs, the “Internet of Tings” and synthetic biology. Tis report provides a common reference point for the S&T community on trends that are likely to affect the development of future military capabilities.


To further immerse the community in operational and security trends, the ODASA(R&T) is also leveraging work led by ARCIC in support of the Army’s annual war game, Unified Quest (UQ), a yearlong series of analytic activities that examines the Army’s future across the


doctrine, organization, training, materiel, leadership and education, personnel and facilities (DOTMLPF) spectrum. Te current iteration of UQ is examining operations


in the 2025-35 time frame


in and around “megacities,” defined as urban centers with more than 10 million inhabitants. Demographers project that by 2050, more than 70 percent of the world’s population will live in cities, with up to 2.4 billion living in vast slums in and around megacities such as Lagos, Nigeria.


Extremely high rates of poverty and substandard living conditions could make megacities fertile ground for terrorists


and criminal


organizations.


Many megacities are located on coastlines and are also vulnerable to catastrophic humanitarian crises caused by typhoons,


Army AL&T Magazine


April–June 2014


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