COMMENTARY
and communication technologies within these legacy systems. Military leaders need to be able to conduct many, fast, low-cost, strategic exercises, and aggregate anal- ysis across all of these activities to find the patterns and insights that will allow them to best understand the “board” and how technology investments in specific areas can give their pieces the maximum advantage.
HARNESSING TECHNOLOGY
Science and scientific methodologies can help military leaders better leverage their resources and decision processes to greater advantage.
often used. Knowing that information could do a lot to shape a player’s strategy, before ever moving the first piece.
Camenares goes on to suggest the need in chess to quantify time (speed) and material imbalances (chess pieces, or in military parlance, “platforms”) and to develop models around these constraints. Tese same challenges of understanding predictable behavior, common patterns, time and material imbalances are exactly the same objectives facing military leaders. It’s the ability to look ahead or calculate what could happen in any given situation and how it might affect your current posi- tion. Tis involves looking at all possible scenarios from every angle so that you can take advantage of whatever opportunities arise along the way—both favorable ones and unfavorable ones.
Christian Brose published a best-selling book in 2020 called "Te Kill Chain: Defending America in the Future of High-Tech Warfare." In it, he explains how the Chinese military is taking a
decision-centric approach to fighting wars against the United States, capital- izing on their strengths while giving the Americans little chance to respond with a counter-punch using our superior military platforms, like an elaborate chess game.
"Over the past decade, in U.S. war games against China, the United States has a nearly perfect record: We have lost almost every single time," writes Brose in his book, arguing that while China's attack weapons are not as advanced, they have smartly used technology to render many United States forces "deaf, dumb and blind."
Future military leaders need the infor- mation derived from war games and simulations to shape their understanding of needed capabilities which will, in turn, influence investments in technology and science. It takes many decades to change the major pieces (military platforms) available on the board, but significant optimization is currently possible through the integration and networking of sensor
UNDERSTANDING YOUR OPTIONS Position analytics is the ability to evalu- ate the position you're in and determine whether it's a good or bad spot. It also includes understanding how your oppo- nents might have assessed that same position, which can sometimes lead them to make assumptions about what they think is happening when their hypothe- ses are wrong (i.e., thinking you don't see an attack). Chess players use computer engines, such as
lichess.org, to study posi- tions and narrow down the possibilities in advance, so they don't have to spend time thinking about every possible move.
While in the real world of warfare, computers may never replace human intelligence, but they can help improve decision-making by providing objective analysis and rapid feedback. In military terminology, this is where sensor data, decision processing, communication and execution capabilities merge into a real- time tactical or strategic advantage. For future military leaders to make timely deci- sions in combat, they need accurate data on everything going on around them— from the locations of friendly forces and enemy units, to weather reports, geogra- phy information and more. Not only do they need this sensory information but they also need to be able to process it and communicate it in near real-time.
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